NCAA Tournament March Madness

#230 Southern Miss

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Southern Miss looks like a team that needs the Sun Belt's automatic bid because its resume offers few signature wins and several damaging defeats that selection committees weigh heavily. The nonconference window produced respectable neutral-site victories but no marquee scalp, while road setbacks at Miami and LSU and at Buffalo and South Carolina are the sort of bad losses that undercut at-large credentials. Conference play has included useful road wins at Radford and at Louisiana and steady home wins over ULM and Texas State, yet those are offset by a heavy loss at Troy and a home loss to Mississippi that leave the profile short on high-quality road or neutral statements. That makes the remaining slate critical; road chances at Georgia State and Marshall and home opportunities against Appalachian State, James Madison and Old Dominion are the occasions to prove consistency, and a road win at Arkansas State or a neutral victory over a top opponent would materially change the outlook. Without those signature results the simplest, most realistic path for Southern Miss to the NCAA field runs through winning the conference tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Buffalo184L85-79
11/9@South Carolina72L83-79
11/13@Grambling278L75-70
11/22(N)North Florida343W92-83
11/23(N)TN Martin205W70-60
12/3@Radford256W82-75
12/6@Miami FL37L88-64
12/8Grambling278W68-60
12/13(N)Mississippi68L71-67
12/18Louisiana330W62-54
12/20Arkansas St154L93-86
12/29@LSU42L90-62
1/1@ULM358W87-73
1/3@Louisiana330W74-67
1/8Texas St271W80-70
1/10ULM358W70-60
1/14@Troy113L91-65
1/17@Texas St271L74-67
1/22@Georgia St27750%
1/24@Coastal Car24742%
1/29Appalachian St21859%
1/31James Madison23963%
2/4@Marshall16728%
2/7Kent14744%
2/12South Alabama20858%
2/14Troy11335%
2/21Old Dominion24263%
2/24@Arkansas St15426%
2/27@South Alabama20836%