NCAA Tournament March Madness

#198 Southern Miss

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Southern Miss has shown flashes that keep it alive in the conversation because it has competed on the road at Buffalo and at South Carolina and picked up an offsite win at Radford alongside neutral-site victories over North Florida and Tennessee Martin, yet that upside is tempered by a damaging blowout at Miami and nonconference setbacks such as the neutral loss to Mississippi and the home defeat to Arkansas State. Home wins over Grambling and Louisiana steady the résumé but do not provide the kind of statement win that separates borderline teams from locks. The team’s road profile is mixed; the close road performances suggest it can hang with tougher opponents while the Miami result exposes inconsistent defense away from home. The remaining slate includes high-visibility road tests at LSU, Louisiana, Troy and Marshall and a collection of home opportunities against Texas State, James Madison, South Alabama and Old Dominion, so protecting home court and landing an upset away or at a neutral site will be essential to repair the résumé and shift the narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Buffalo179L85-79
11/9@South Carolina86L83-79
11/13@Grambling245L75-70
11/22(N)North Florida339W92-83
11/23(N)TN Martin207W70-60
12/3@Radford252W82-75
12/6@Miami FL37L88-64
12/8Grambling245W68-60
12/13(N)Mississippi57L71-67
12/18Louisiana316W62-54
12/20Arkansas St132L93-86
12/29@LSU38L90-62
1/1@ULM35177%
1/3@Louisiana31664%
1/8Texas St25971%
1/10ULM35190%
1/14@Troy13826%
1/17@Texas St25950%
1/22@Georgia St32768%
1/24@Coastal Car22445%
1/29Appalachian St24870%
1/31James Madison21565%
2/4@Marshall15731%
2/12South Alabama19261%
2/14Troy13847%
2/21Old Dominion22166%
2/24@Arkansas St13225%
2/27@South Alabama19238%